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Asian stocks mostly declined as concerns over persistent inflation and interest rates grew following mixed U.S. market performance. The Nikkei 225 fell 1.4% after strong wage growth data, while the S&P 500 rose 0.2% amid hopes for future rate cuts. U.S. markets will be closed for a National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter.
World shares experienced a mixed day as U.S. economic data eased concerns on Wall Street, with markets closed for a National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. European indices showed varied results, while Asian markets mostly declined amid trade friction fears linked to President-elect Donald Trump.In Japan, strong wage growth prompted a drop in the Nikkei 225 index, while China's consumer price index indicated weak demand. U.S. bond yields fluctuated, with expectations for future interest rate cuts amid a solid job market, as investors remain cautious about potential tariffs and their economic impact.
World shares showed mixed results as U.S. economic data eased concerns on Wall Street, with futures slightly lower ahead of a National Day of Mourning for former President Jimmy Carter. European markets were varied, while Asian indices mostly declined amid trade friction fears and Japan's strong wage growth. In the U.S., bond yields fluctuated, and crude oil prices dipped slightly, with investors eyeing upcoming jobs reports for economic insights.
Copper is set to be the leading industrial metal in 2025, driven by supply constraints and a rebound in global manufacturing demand, with prices projected to reach $11,000 per metric ton. Despite challenges like trade tensions and a slow start to the year, targeted stimulus in China is expected to bolster demand. While other metals like zinc and aluminum may see gains, they will lag behind copper, which benefits from its critical role in the transition to a low-carbon economy.
Banque Internationale à Luxembourg (BIL) is closing its Hong Kong office as part of a strategic shift to enhance its wealth management operations in Europe. The bank will continue to serve Chinese clients from its centers in Luxembourg and Switzerland, while maintaining its representative office in Beijing. This decision follows challenges in achieving profitability in Hong Kong amid a tough economic climate.
UBS forecasts elevated S&P 500 volatility in 2025, driven by macroeconomic uncertainty, shifting policy rates, and geopolitical risks. With government stimulus waning, slower nominal growth is expected, particularly in China and the US, leading to intermittent volatility spikes.The potential for significant policy changes and escalating tariff tensions under the current administration adds unpredictability. UBS anticipates the key measure of market volatility to average around 20% in 2025, with volatility-of-volatility exceeding 110%, as earnings dispersion narrows and stock correlations rise.
UBS forecasts elevated S&P 500 volatility in 2025, driven by macroeconomic uncertainty, policy shifts, and geopolitical risks. With government stimulus waning, slower nominal growth is expected, particularly in China and the US, leading to intermittent volatility spikes linked to growth data.The firm anticipates the volatility index to average around 20%, with volatility-of-volatility exceeding 110%. Additionally, concerns over tech earnings and potential tariff tensions could further complicate the economic landscape, particularly affecting European equities and US markets.
China's solar-panel manufacturing industry is set to eliminate excess capacity over the next two years, returning to equilibrium by 2027, according to UBS. Supply is expected to shrink by 7% annually from 2024 to 2026, following government regulations that limit new facilities and an agreement among major suppliers to cut production and adhere to quotas.
China's main stock exchanges have urged large mutual funds to limit stock selling as markets face pressure from potential U.S. tariffs under President Trump. Funds were advised to ensure daily purchases exceed sales, reflecting ongoing efforts to stabilize investor sentiment amid economic challenges. The CSI 300 Index fell 2.9% on the first trading day of 2025, marking its worst start since 2016.
China's stock exchanges and central bank took urgent measures to stabilize a declining yuan and plummeting stock markets on Monday. Investor anxiety was heightened by concerns over Donald Trump's potential return to the White House and doubts about Beijing's economic recovery efforts.
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